Advanced Therapeutics, Vaccines & Medical Countermeasures

The capacity to develop and field advanced therapeutics, vaccines and medical countermeasures, new modalities, antimicrobials, and the development-at-speed capability that pandemics and biological threats demand.
Hard Power / Critical Technology / Biotechnology & Health Technologies

The capacity to develop and field advanced therapeutics, vaccines and medical countermeasures, new modalities, antimicrobials, and the development-at-speed capability that pandemics and biological threats demand.

Indicators

  • Novel therapeutics approved
  • Vaccine candidates advanced to late-stage trials
  • Time from pathogen identification to authorised countermeasure
Capability Developments

Major milestones and key developments of the capability

The Capability Development Index tracks the events that move a capability — operational use, technical breakthroughs, procurement decisions and the industrial base behind them — and places each on the record with the date it happened.

Recent developments cover the current period. Historical developments are the inflection points that produced Advanced Therapeutics, Vaccines & Medical Countermeasures as it stands today.

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Historical Developments

10th century onwardChinese physicians practised variolation, inoculating people with smallpox material to induce immunity over 1,000 years ago

Chinese practitioners are reported to have inoculated people with smallpox material to induce immunity as far back as the tenth century; historian Joseph Needham attributes the earliest practice to Taoists, though the claim is contested because it was not written about at the time. The technique, using dried smallpox scabs blown into the nose, spread along trade routes to the Ottoman Empire and reached Britain and North America in the 1720s, centuries before Jenner's safer cowpox-based method replaced it.

15th centuryChinese practitioners documented variolation by nasal insufflation of powdered smallpox scabs 626 years ago

The oldest documented use of variolation dates to fifteenth-century China, using powdered smallpox material, usually scabs, blown up the nostrils. Various insufflation techniques were recorded through the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries. This was the first systematic method of inducing protective immunity against a specific disease.

1700Royal Society in London received two reports on the Chinese practice of inoculation 326 years ago

Martin Lister relayed an account from an East India Company employee stationed in China, and Clopton Havers submitted a separate report. These transmissions brought knowledge of inoculation into European scientific circles. They preceded the practice's adoption in Britain by two decades.

1721Lady Mary Wortley Montagu brought variolation from Turkey to Britain and had her daughter inoculated 305 years ago

Having witnessed variolation in Turkey, Montagu had her four-year-old daughter variolated before physicians of the Royal Court on her return to England. The demonstration attracted the attention of the royal family, who helped promote the procedure. This marked the introduction of deliberate smallpox immunisation to Britain.

1721Charles Maitland conducted an experimental variolation of six prisoners at Newgate Prison 305 years ago

Maitland tested variolation on six prisoners in London, and the experiment succeeded. It served as an early clinical trial of an immunising procedure and helped legitimise variolation in Britain.

1783Prince Octavius of Great Britain died days after inoculation, exposing the risks of variolation 243 years ago

The prince's death several days after being inoculated highlighted the dangers of variolation with live smallpox virus. Such incidents underlined the need for a safer immunising agent.

1796Edward Jenner demonstrated that cowpox exposure protected against smallpox 230 years ago

Jenner took pus from the hand of a milkmaid with cowpox, scratched it into the arm of eight-year-old James Phipps, and later variolated the boy with smallpox, observing that he did not contract the disease. This heterotypic immunisation was far safer than variolation with smallpox virus itself, and Jenner gave the practice its name from the Latin for cowpox, founding modern vaccination while building on inoculation traditions practised elsewhere for centuries.

Lady Mary Wortley Montagu had already brought variolation from the Ottoman Empire to Britain decades before Jenner
1798Edward Jenner published his Inquiry into the Variolae vaccinae reporting vaccine safety and arm-to-arm transfer 228 years ago

Jenner reported that his vaccine was safe in children and adults and could be passed arm-to-arm, reducing reliance on uncertain supplies from infected cows. The long title of the work gave rise to the terms vaccine and vaccination. Publication turned a local observation into a transferable public health technology.

late 19th centuryNational governments adopted compulsory vaccination laws and treated vaccines as national prestige 226 years ago

From the late nineteenth century vaccines were considered a matter of national prestige, and states adopted national vaccination policies. Compulsory vaccination laws were passed, embedding immunisation in public administration.

1804Spain launched the Balmis smallpox vaccination expedition to Mexico and the Philippines 222 years ago

Because cowpox vaccine survived only twelve days in vitro, the expedition used arm-to-arm transport to carry live vaccine to Spain's colonies. It was among the first state-organised international vaccination campaigns and demonstrated logistical solutions to vaccine perishability.

1840England banned smallpox inoculation in favour of cowpox vaccination 186 years ago

With cowpox vaccination proving much safer, variolation with live smallpox virus was outlawed despite remaining widely practised. The ban was an early example of regulation shaping which countermeasures a state permitted.

1880sLouis Pasteur introduced the second generation of vaccines for chicken cholera and anthrax 146 years ago

Pasteur developed attenuated vaccines beyond the cowpox model, extending immunisation to bacterial diseases. His work established vaccine development as a laboratory science rather than a folk practice.

1881Louis Pasteur proposed extending the terms vaccine and vaccination to all protective inoculations 145 years ago

To honour Jenner, Pasteur suggested the smallpox-derived vocabulary should cover the new protective inoculations then being developed. The proposal fixed the general terminology of the field.

1885Louis Pasteur developed the first laboratory-attenuated vaccine and used it to save a rabies patient 141 years ago

Treating nine-year-old Joseph Meister with a vaccine grown and weakened in his laboratory, rather than derived from a naturally mild disease as Jenner's had been, Pasteur established the general method for making vaccines against any pathogen.

1890Emil von Behring developed diphtheria antitoxin, the first medical countermeasure based on passive immunity 136 years ago

Injecting serum containing antibodies from immunised animals treated diphtheria and tetanus in patients who already had the disease, a distinct approach from preventive vaccination that won Behring the first Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine.

1928Diphtheria vaccination incident killed 12 of 21 children through Staphylococcus contamination of preservative-free vaccine 98 years ago

A diphtheria vaccine lacking a preservative caused fatal Staphylococcus infection in twelve of twenty-one inoculated children. The disaster established the need for preservatives in multi-dose vaccine preparations.

1930sVaccine researchers pursued the prophylactic value of an oral typhoid fever vaccine 96 years ago

Interest grew in oral delivery of vaccines during the 1930s, building on earlier twentieth-century attempts whose promise had been uneven. At the time the very possibility of an effective oral antibacterial vaccine was controversial.

1931Alice Miles Woodruff and Ernest Goodpasture showed fowlpox virus could be grown in embryonated chicken eggs 95 years ago

Their documentation of viral growth in eggs gave vaccinology a practical means of propagating viruses at scale. Scientists soon cultivated other viruses the same way, opening the era of viral vaccines.

1935Vaccine developers used eggs to propagate virus for a yellow fever vaccine 91 years ago

The yellow fever vaccine was among the first products of egg-based virus propagation. It demonstrated the practical value of the Woodruff–Goodpasture technique.

1945Vaccine developers produced an influenza vaccine using egg-based propagation 81 years ago

Egg propagation was applied to influenza, yielding a vaccine against a rapidly changing respiratory pathogen. The method remained central to influenza vaccine manufacture.

1950sVaccinologists developed the polio vaccine 76 years ago

The polio vaccine was among the major achievements of twentieth-century vaccinology. Its deployment restricted polio from much of the world.

1955Jonas Salk introduced the first effective polio vaccine 71 years ago

The inactivated vaccine, tested in one of the largest clinical trials ever conducted, was released without patent for free public use, and mass vaccination campaigns sharply cut polio cases across the US and, later, much of the world.

1958United States cut measles cases from 763,094 to under 150 a year through new vaccines 68 years ago

In 1958 the United States recorded 763,094 measles cases and 552 deaths. After the introduction of new vaccines, annual cases fell to fewer than 150, and by early 2008 only 64 cases were suspected. The contrast became a standard demonstration of vaccine effectiveness.

1959Vaccine manufacturers replaced eggs with cell culture and growth media as the standard for virus propagation 67 years ago

Cell culture became the standard method of propagating viruses for vaccines, superseding embryonated eggs. The shift expanded which viruses could be grown and how consistently vaccines could be produced.

early 1960sPolio vaccine developers raised the doses of serotypes 1 and 3 to counter immune interference 66 years ago

The relative doses of serotypes in the polio vaccine were adjusted so that no single serotype suppressed the response to others. It was an early demonstration of managing valence in multivalent vaccines.

1960s–70sGlobal vaccination campaigns achieved the eradication of smallpox 66 years ago

Widespread immunity from vaccination led to the worldwide eradication of smallpox during the 1960s and 1970s. It remains the definitive proof that a vaccine can extinguish a human disease.

1980The World Health Assembly certified smallpox eradicated worldwide 46 years ago

A coordinated global vaccination and surveillance campaign eliminated a disease that had killed hundreds of millions of people across history, the only human disease eradicated through vaccination to date and still the field's benchmark achievement.

Recent Developments

Early 2026African countries continued introducing malaria vaccines into routine childhood immunisation 6 months ago

Ghana, Nigeria, the Central African Republic and others expanded rollout of the R21 and RTS,S vaccines, both requiring multiple doses and used alongside bed nets and other measures, as manufacturing capacity gradually caught up with continent-wide demand.

Demand still outstripped available doses in several countries
June 2025US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr replaced the government's vaccine advisory committee last year

Kennedy dismissed all members of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices and installed new appointees, several sceptical of established vaccine schedules, a shift that also saw removal of routine COVID-19 vaccination recommendations for healthy children and pregnant women.

January 2025The US began formally withdrawing from the World Health Organization last year

The one-year withdrawal process, triggered on the new administration's first day in office, removed the organisation's largest historical funding source and forced WHO to cut programmes and staff, with knock-on effects for vaccine research coordination and outbreak response funding.

January 2025Uganda contained an Ebola Sudan virus outbreak using a rapid vaccine trial last year

Health authorities and international partners began a ring vaccination trial with a candidate vaccine within days of the outbreak's declaration, an unusually fast research response that drew on preparedness work developed since earlier Ebola epidemics in the region.

2025EuBiologics expanded production of oral cholera vaccine last year

The South Korean firm, which supplies most of the global stockpile, increased output as simultaneous outbreaks across Africa, the Middle East and Haiti kept demand well above what a single-dose emergency regimen, adopted to stretch limited supply, could fully meet.

2025Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance held a replenishment summit clouded by uncertainty over US funding last year

Donors pledged funds toward the alliance's next five-year immunisation programme for lower-income countries, but the total fell short of its target after the US signalled it would cut its historic contribution, a gap other donors and manufacturers scrambled to address.

USAID's dismantlement had already disrupted vaccine delivery logistics in several countries earlier in the year
August 2024The WHO declared mpox a public health emergency for the second time in three years 2 years ago

A new clade Ib strain spreading from the Democratic Republic of the Congo into neighbouring countries prompted the declaration, triggering vaccine donations from the US, EU and Japan that Africa CDC coordinated for distribution across the continent.

Vaccine supply remained far below what the outbreak required
July 2024Finland became one of the first countries to offer H5N1 vaccine to at-risk workers 2 years ago

Fur farm and poultry workers judged at higher risk of exposure to avian influenza were offered a stockpiled human vaccine as a precaution, ahead of most other countries even as the virus continued spreading through wild birds, poultry and, in the US, dairy cattle.

2024Vaccine manufacturers in Vietnam, Bangladesh and other spoke countries advanced mRNA production capability transferred from the WHO's South African hub 2 years ago

Technology transfer under the programme progressed unevenly, with some spoke countries further along than others in building the regulatory and manufacturing capacity needed to produce mRNA vaccines domestically rather than relying on donations or imports.

2024The Serum Institute of India expanded manufacturing of newer vaccines for domestic and export markets 2 years ago

The world's largest vaccine maker by volume ramped up production of pneumococcal and HPV vaccines alongside its role manufacturing the R21 malaria vaccine for African rollout, reinforcing India's position as a critical supplier to global immunisation programmes.

2021Katalin Karikó and Drew Weissman received Columbia University's Horwitz Prize for pioneering mRNA vaccine research 5 years ago

The award recognised the foundational work that made mRNA vaccine technology possible. It marked scientific validation of the platform after its pandemic deployment.

2021World Trade Organization and governments weighed waiving patents on COVID-19 vaccines 5 years ago

With production urgently needed during the pandemic, the WTO and governments evaluated suspending intellectual property rights on COVID-19 vaccines to remove barriers to affordable access and scale up manufacturing. The debate exposed how patent regimes govern who can make medical countermeasures.

2020Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna developed effective COVID-19 vaccines in under a year 6 years ago

Using messenger RNA technology developed over the previous decade, Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna took a vaccine from pathogen identification to authorised use in under twelve months, a pace previous vaccine development had never approached and one now targeted as a template for future pandemics. Development was aided by Operation Warp Speed, and the massive deployment of vaccines such as BNT162b2 was the first large-scale use of a third-generation nucleic-acid vaccine platform.

2019World Health Organization named vaccine hesitancy a top ten global health threat 7 years ago

The WHO listed hesitancy among the ten leading threats to global health. The designation framed public acceptance, not just supply and science, as a determinant of immunisation capability.

2018Merck deployed the licensed rVSV-ZEBOV Ebola vaccine in Congo 8 years ago

The vaccine licensed to Merck was used to combat an Ebola outbreak in Congo. It showed vaccines being deployed as outbreak countermeasures against a high-lethality pathogen.

2016National Institutes of Health, Inovio Pharmaceuticals and GeneOne Life Science began human tests of DNA vaccines against Zika virus 10 years ago

A DNA vaccine for Zika entered testing at the NIH while Inovio and GeneOne trialled a different DNA candidate in Miami. Volume manufacturing remained unsolved at the time. The trials marked the clinical arrival of third-generation nucleic-acid vaccines.

2013Scientists began building synthetic third-generation vaccines by reconstructing viral outer structures 13 years ago

Researchers sought to reconstruct the outside structure of viruses synthetically, hoping to prevent vaccine resistance. The work represented a shift towards rationally designed rather than pathogen-derived immunogens.

2009–11United Kingdom and United States added the human papillomavirus vaccine to recommended schedules 17 years ago

The HPV vaccine was recommended in the UK from 2009 and in the US by 2011. Its adoption marked the routine use of a vaccine against a cancer-causing infection.

2006Vaccine developers introduced a shingles vaccine for the elderly 20 years ago

A vaccine against shingles, caused by the chickenpox virus, was introduced, targeting a disease that usually affects older people. It extended routine immunisation into adult and geriatric schedules.

2006Gardasil became the first vaccine developed specifically to prevent cancer 20 years ago

By targeting the human papillomavirus strains responsible for most cervical cancer cases, the vaccine offered a preventive tool against a cancer that kills disproportionately in lower-income countries with limited access to cervical screening.

2005Plant biotechnologists developed bananas producing a human hepatitis B vaccine 21 years ago

Bananas were engineered to express a hepatitis B vaccine antigen. The demonstration advanced the concept of edible, plant-produced vaccines.

2003Vaccine researchers identified vaccine production via transgenic plants 23 years ago

The idea of manufacturing vaccines in genetically modified plants was identified as a possible route to cheaper production. It pointed towards decentralised, agricultural biomanufacturing.

2001Dengue vaccine researchers reported serotype interference in dengue vaccines 25 years ago

A study found the DEN-3 serotype predominated and suppressed responses to DEN-1, -2 and -4. The finding identified a central obstacle to multivalent dengue immunisation.

2000Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance was founded to expand vaccine access in poorer countries 26 years ago

Backed by the Gates Foundation, the WHO, UNICEF, the World Bank and donor governments, the alliance pooled funding and negotiated lower vaccine prices, credited with helping immunise hundreds of millions of additional children in the decades that followed.

1990Persian Gulf campaign preparations used whole cell pertussis vaccine as an adjuvant for anthrax vaccine 36 years ago

In preparing for the Gulf campaign, the whole cell pertussis vaccine was employed to boost the response to anthrax vaccine. The episode illustrates military use of vaccines as biological-warfare countermeasures.

1988The World Health Assembly launched the Global Polio Eradication Initiative 38 years ago

The campaign cut annual polio cases by over 99% from an estimated hundreds of thousands in the late 1980s, eliminating the disease from all but a handful of countries, though conflict and vaccine hesitancy repeatedly delayed final eradication.

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