The capacity to see shock coming: a standing all-hazards national risk picture, the warning systems built on it and the honesty to publish what the assessment finds.
The Capability Development Index tracks the events that move a capability — operational use, technical breakthroughs, procurement decisions and the industrial base behind them — and places each on the record with the date it happened.
Recent developments cover the current period. Historical developments are the inflection points that produced National Risk Assessment & Early Warning as it stands today.
The Indian Ocean tsunami of 26 December 2004 prompted widespread international efforts to develop early warning systems. The disaster established the modern template of hazard detection chains combining sensors, event detection and decision subsystems, and broadened application beyond natural hazards to events such as disease outbreaks and missile launches.