Recovery, Continuity & Adaptation

The capacity to come back stronger: continuity of government and essential functions through disruption, recovery machinery that rebuilds better and the adaptation planning that retires risks instead of rescheduling them.
Soft Power / Governance & Integrity / National Resilience & Crisis Management

The capacity to come back stronger: continuity of government and essential functions through disruption, recovery machinery that rebuilds better and the adaptation planning that retires risks instead of rescheduling them.

Indicators

  • Economic losses from disasters as share of GDP
  • Insured share of disaster losses
  • National adaptation plan status
  • Essential service restoration times
Capability Developments

Major milestones and key developments of the capability

The Capability Development Index tracks the events that move a capability — operational use, technical breakthroughs, procurement decisions and the industrial base behind them — and places each on the record with the date it happened.

Recent developments cover the current period. Historical developments are the inflection points that produced Recovery, Continuity & Adaptation as it stands today.

GeopoliticalGovernanceTechnologyEconomyEnvironmentSociety

Historical Developments

c. 390 BCERome rebuilt the city and continued its political institutions after being sacked by the Gauls about 2,400 years ago

Despite the destruction of much of the city, the Senate continued to meet and Roman institutions carried on functioning through the crisis, an early example, frequently cited by later historians, of governing continuity being maintained through reconstruction rather than political collapse.

1351England's Statute of Labourers tried to hold wages down as the country recovered from the Black Death 675 years ago

With a large share of the workforce dead, surviving labourers could demand far higher wages, and the statute's attempt to freeze pre-plague pay levels by law was widely evaded, part of a broader economic restructuring across Europe that eventually weakened the manorial system.

1666The Great Fire of London led to new building rules and the birth of fire insurance 360 years ago

Rebuilding regulations required brick and stone construction and wider streets, and the destruction of thousands of uninsured homes prompted the founding of dedicated fire insurance companies within a few years, creating a financial mechanism for spreading the cost of future recovery.

1871Chicago rebuilt its centre within a few years of the Great Fire, adopting new fire codes and materials 155 years ago

New regulations required stone and brick rather than wood in the rebuilt districts, and the reconstruction boom that followed helped drive the development of steel-frame construction, turning a catastrophic loss into the foundation of the city's modern downtown.

1906San Francisco rebuilt most of the city within about three years of the 1906 earthquake and fire 120 years ago

Insurance payouts, rapid municipal permitting and a determined civic rebuilding campaign restored the city's population and commercial activity remarkably quickly, though the speed of reconstruction came partly at the expense of adopting the stronger seismic building standards developed after later earthquakes.

1932The United States created the Reconstruction Finance Corporation 94 years ago

The agency lent government money to banks, railroads and other struggling institutions during the Depression, and was later repurposed to finance wartime industrial capacity, establishing a template for state-backed emergency financing to keep essential institutions operating through prolonged crises.

1948The United States funded the European Recovery Program 78 years ago

Known as the Marshall Plan, the programme channelled large-scale aid into rebuilding the industry and infrastructure of a war-devastated Western Europe, becoming the reference point for using external financing to restore continuity of economic activity after mass destruction.

Sixteen European countries coordinated how the aid was allocated between them
1948West Germany replaced its currency almost overnight to restart a stalled economy 78 years ago

The introduction of the Deutsche Mark ended years of postwar shortage economics built on rationing and barter, and the sudden restoration of a functioning currency is widely credited with unlocking the rapid economic recovery of the following decade.

1976China rebuilt the industrial city of Tangshan after an earthquake that killed hundreds of thousands 50 years ago

The 1976 quake flattened the city with little warning, and reconstruction over the following decade, carried out under tight state direction, became a reference point within China for large-scale, centrally organised post-disaster rebuilding.

1994 onwardRwanda rebuilt state institutions from near-total collapse after the 1994 genocide 32 years ago

With much of the civil service, judiciary and economy destroyed or emptied by killing and mass displacement, the new government spent the following decade rebuilding courts, local administration and public finance largely from scratch, later cited as an unusually rapid case of state reconstruction.

Gacaca community courts were later established to process a backlog of genocide cases

Recent Developments

March 2025Arab League states endorsed an Egyptian-led plan for rebuilding Gaza last year

The plan, presented as an alternative to a separately floated US proposal, set out phased reconstruction alongside continued disagreement among the parties over governance and security arrangements for postwar Gaza, with funding and implementation still unresolved months later.

February 2025Turkey marked two years since the 2023 earthquakes with hundreds of thousands of new homes delivered but many survivors still waiting last year

The government reported large-scale progress rehousing families from temporary containers and tents into permanent housing, while opposition politicians and residents in some of the worst-hit provinces said reconstruction remained slow and uneven between districts.

Survivors in rural areas reported slower progress than in major cities
January 2025Puerto Rico suffered an island-wide blackout on New Year's Eve last year

The outage, years after Hurricane Maria first exposed the fragility of the territory's grid, renewed scrutiny of the private operator's management and reopened debate over whether continuity of electricity supply required a different ownership or contracting model.

LUMA Energy faced renewed calls for its contract to be cancelled
January 2025Lebanon elected a president after a vacancy of more than two years last year

Joseph Aoun's election ended a period in which the presidency sat empty and caretaker government limited the state's capacity to plan reconstruction after the 2024 conflict with Israel, and international donors had signalled that filling the post was a condition for larger reconstruction financing.

2025The Noto Peninsula saw reconstruction slowed by an ageing, shrinking population last year

More than a year after the January 2024 earthquake, many elderly residents of remote communities had not returned, and local authorities weighed the cost of fully rebuilding infrastructure for villages that might continue to shrink regardless.

September 2024Libya had barely begun rebuilding Derna a year after its dam-collapse flood 2 years ago

Reconstruction stalled amid the country's continued division between rival eastern and western administrations, which struggled to agree on funding and authority for rebuilding the city, leaving thousands of displaced residents still without permanent housing.

September 2024Morocco reported steady progress rebuilding Atlas Mountain villages a year after the Al Haouz earthquake 2 years ago

A reconstruction fund backed by the state had disbursed support to displaced families and begun rebuilding stone-built mountain villages to more earthquake-resistant standards, though many residents were still living in temporary shelter through a second winter.

2024 to 2025Satellite internet systems became a standard tool for restoring communications after disasters last year

Terminals distributed by SpaceX's Starlink and similar services reconnected hospitals, emergency services and residents in areas from cyclone-hit Indian Ocean islands to flood-affected communities within days of damage to fibre and mobile networks, ahead of permanent repairs.

2024 to 2025Haiti's transitional council and a Kenyan-led security mission struggled to restore continuity of state authority last year

Armed groups continued to control large parts of Port-au-Prince despite the deployment of foreign police officers, and repeated disputes within the transitional council over leadership and corruption allegations further complicated efforts to keep basic government functions operating.

Winter 2024 to 2025Ukraine kept repair crews on permanent standby to restore power within hours of Russian strikes on the grid last year

Repeated missile and drone attacks on generation and transmission infrastructure through a third wartime winter forced continued reliance on emergency repairs, decentralised generation and imported electricity from EU neighbours to keep hospitals, water systems and heating running.

European transmission operators kept Ukraine's grid synchronised with the continental European network

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