Investment Absorption & Linkages

The capacity to make investment take root: supplier development, linkage programmes and the absorptive conditions that turn foreign presence into domestic capability rather than an enclave.
Economic Power / Trade & Investment / Investment Attraction & Projection

The capacity to make investment take root: supplier development, linkage programmes and the absorptive conditions that turn foreign presence into domestic capability rather than an enclave.

Indicators

  • Local sourcing share of foreign affiliates
  • Foreign affiliate employment
  • Supplier development programme participation
Capability Developments

Major milestones and key developments of the capability

The Capability Development Index tracks the events that move a capability — operational use, technical breakthroughs, procurement decisions and the industrial base behind them — and places each on the record with the date it happened.

Recent developments cover the current period. Historical developments are the inflection points that produced Investment Absorption & Linkages as it stands today.

GeopoliticalGovernanceSecurityTechnologyEconomy

Historical Developments

1602The Dutch East India Company issued the first tradable shares to fund overseas ventures 424 years ago

Investors pooled capital through the Amsterdam exchange to finance long-distance trading voyages and foreign trading posts, creating the joint-stock company structure that later became the standard vehicle for cross-border investment.

1919–33Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin developed early theories of foreign investment using neoclassical economics 107 years ago

Heckscher in 1919 and Ohlin in 1933 applied neoclassical and macroeconomic reasoning to explain cross-border investment flows. Their work provided the intellectual foundation on which later, FDI-specific theory was built.

1959Germany and Pakistan signed the first modern bilateral investment treaty 67 years ago

The agreement set out reciprocal protections against expropriation and guarantees of fair treatment for investors, establishing a treaty template that grew into a global network of thousands of bilateral investment agreements.

1960Stephen Hymer produced the first theory dealing specifically with FDI 66 years ago

Before Hymer's seminal 1960 work, no theory existed that addressed foreign direct investment as a distinct phenomenon rather than a variant of capital flows. His analysis established FDI and multinational enterprise activity as a subject of study in its own right.

1961Singapore founded the Economic Development Board to court foreign investors 65 years ago

The agency actively marketed the country to multinational manufacturers with tax incentives, infrastructure and political stability, a proactive investment-promotion model later copied by investment agencies across the developing world.

1965The World Bank established the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes 61 years ago

The Washington Convention created a standing forum where foreign investors could bring claims against host governments, giving cross-border investment a legal enforcement mechanism independent of national courts.

1967Weintraub tested the neoclassical hypothesis using US rate-of-return and capital flow data 59 years ago

Weintraub collected United States data on rates of return and capital flows to test the prevailing theory of foreign investment empirically. This marked an early attempt to ground FDI theory in measured national investment flows.

late 1970sChina opened to foreign direct investment under reform and opening-up 56 years ago

FDI into China began substantially in the late 1970s following the reform and opening-up policies of paramount leader Deng Xiaoping. This initiated the process that would eventually make China one of the world's two largest FDI destinations.

1973OPEC governments nationalised foreign-owned oil assets 53 years ago

A wave of expropriations across the Middle East, Africa and Latin America transferred control of oil production to national companies, a formative episode in the politics of FDI that pushed investors and home governments toward treaties protecting foreign assets.

1979China passed its first law permitting foreign equity joint ventures 47 years ago

The legislation gave foreign firms a legal basis to hold equity stakes in Chinese enterprises for the first time since 1949, opening the door to the wave of inward investment that later built the country's export manufacturing base.

1982Honda opened the first Japanese-owned car plant in the United States 44 years ago

Built in Marysville, Ohio to defuse trade tensions over Japanese car exports, the factory began a wave of Japanese manufacturing FDI into North America and Europe that reshaped the global auto industry's ownership map.

1988The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency was created to insure investors against political risk 38 years ago

A World Bank Group affiliate began offering guarantees against expropriation, currency restrictions and political violence, reducing a major deterrent to foreign direct investment in higher-risk developing markets.

1990sFDI scholarship strengthened the efficiency-value creation view through resource-based and evolutionary theories 36 years ago

Two major scholarly developments in the 1990s, the resource-based view and evolutionary theory, reframed FDI and multinational activity as value-creating rather than merely capital-moving. This shifted how governments and analysts assessed the benefits of attracting foreign investors.

1991The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development published its first World Investment Report 35 years ago

The annual report established a systematic global scorecard of FDI flows and stocks by country and sector, giving governments and investors a common statistical basis for tracking cross-border investment for the first time.

1991India opened to foreign investment under the Foreign Exchange Management Act 35 years ago

Foreign investment was introduced in India in 1991 under the Foreign Exchange Management Act, driven by then finance minister Manmohan Singh. The reform brought India into global investment flows after decades of restriction.

1992–2023United States and China held position as the top two destinations for FDI 34 years ago

From 1992 until at least 2023 the United States and China consistently ranked as the world's leading recipients of foreign direct investment. Their dominance defined the structure of global investment flows for three decades.

1993European Investment Bank began investing in Latin America 33 years ago

The EIB started lending in Latin America in 1993 and by 2023 had backed 150 projects across 15 countries with more than €13 billion. It became a significant channel of European capital into the region.

1994The North American Free Trade Agreement took effect, opening a continental investment zone 32 years ago

Removing barriers to cross-border ownership between Canada, Mexico and the United States triggered a sustained surge in manufacturing FDI into Mexico, reshaping supply chains across the continent and setting a template for later regional investment pacts.

2008Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco found foreign portfolio allocation to the US tied to home financial market development 18 years ago

A 2008 study indicated that foreigners hold greater shares of their investment portfolios in the United States when their own countries have less developed financial markets. The effect's magnitude decreased with income per capita, linking investment flows to institutional depth.

2009Global FDI fell by over a third during the Great Recession 17 years ago

As a result of the Great Recession, foreign direct investment flows dropped by more than one-third in 2009 before rebounding in 2010. The episode demonstrated the sharp cyclical sensitivity of global investment flows.

2010Meta-analysis of FDI effects found foreign investment robustly increases local productivity growth 16 years ago

A 2010 meta-analysis examined the effects of FDI on local firms across developing and transition countries. It concluded that foreign investment robustly raises local productivity growth, reinforcing the policy case for attracting inflows.

2012China overtook the United States as the largest recipient of FDI 14 years ago

Foreign direct investment into China reached $19.1 billion in the first six months of 2012, topping the $17.4 billion received by the United States. It marked China's rise to the top of global inflow rankings after a decade of rapid growth.

Recent Developments

August 2026Dangote Petroleum Refinery planned a $5 billion IPO with a Johannesburg secondary listing this month

The Nigerian refiner aimed to complete the primary listing on the Nigerian Exchange in October before pursuing a secondary listing in South Africa, a move intended to widen its access to regional and international portfolio capital.

August 2026Senegal received African Development Bank backing for public finance reform this month

The Bank approved a financing package worth about $35 million to strengthen public financial management, part of a wider push by multilateral lenders to improve the institutional conditions that attract further foreign capital.

August 2026Rwanda signed a 40 million euro EU financing deal for agriculture this month

The five-year HANGARIBIHE programme will provide budget support and technical assistance for climate-resilient farming, backing a national strategy that the government estimates will cost $4.76 billion to implement in full.

August 2026Kenya unlocked IFC-backed financing to reach smaller businesses this month

The International Finance Corporation launched its Catalytic First Loss Guarantee programme in Africa for the first time, backing $144 million in lending to Kenyan MSMEs and aiming to draw in private capital that had previously judged the segment too risky.

KCB Bank Kenya separately secured a $100 million EBRD loan
August 2026Emirates NBD agreed to buy HSBC's Egyptian retail banking business this month

The deal generated an estimated $300 million pre-tax gain for HSBC and extended the Dubai-based lender's push into North African retail banking, part of a wider pattern of Gulf banks acquiring assets that Western lenders are exiting.

August 2026Moove raised $250 million from Abu Dhabi's Mubadala this month

The sovereign wealth fund's investment in the vehicle-financing and mobility fintech valued the company at $2.1 billion, extending Gulf capital's reach into African and emerging-market technology ventures.

July 2026Morocco secured a $293.8 million EBRD package for water infrastructure last month

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development provided a 250 million euro loan and a 5 million euro grant to the state water utility ONEE, part of a broader pattern of foreign development-bank capital financing African infrastructure.

2026India attracted a record $95 billion in FDI this year

Total foreign direct investment during the 2025-26 financial year reflected sustained investor confidence in India's growth prospects, with inflows concentrated in computer software and hardware, services and manufacturing-related industries.

Computer software and hardware led the sectoral breakdown of inflows
2025China extended overseas mining acquisitions to lock in mineral supply security last year

Zijin Mining paid $1.2 billion for the Raygorodok gold project in Kazakhstan, following its $1 billion purchase of Ghana's Akyem gold mine and Zhaojin Capital's $475 million acquisition of Tietto Minerals in Cote d'Ivoire, extending a run of Chinese mining deals concentrated in Africa and Central Asia.

Zijin Mining completed six of China's ten largest overseas mining deals since 2019
2025Global FDI inflows rose to $1.62 trillion, up 6% year on year last year

Asia retained its position as the largest recipient region, drawing $644 billion, up 3% on the previous year, even as overall cross-border investment flows stayed uneven across other parts of the world economy.

2024China saw FDI drop to a 30-year low 2 years ago

Inward foreign direct investment in China fell in 2024 to its lowest level in three decades. The decline was attributed to anti-espionage crackdowns within China and rising sanctions on industries such as semiconductors.

2023Iran saw FDI fall by 82% 3 years ago

By 2023 foreign direct investment into Iran had decreased by 82% owing to the condition of the Iranian economy. The reversal undid the gains that had followed sanctions relief.

2022European Investment Bank signed 15 Global Gateway contracts in Latin America 4 years ago

Since 2022 the bank has concluded 15 Global Gateway contracts in the region worth a combined €1.7 billion, with anticipated investments of about €4.6 billion in coming years. The programme channels European public investment into infrastructure abroad.

November 2021Eurasian Development Bank reported Kazakhstan's $11.2 billion EAEU FDI stock 5 years ago

A November 2021 report found Kazakhstan held the highest stock of foreign direct investment from the Eurasian Economic Union, at $11.2 billion by 2020. This was an increase of over $3 billion since 2017, showing deepening intra-bloc investment integration.

2020European Investment Bank provided €516 million of finance in Latin America and the Caribbean 6 years ago

In 2020 the EIB deployed €516 million in the region in support of sustainable and equitable development and climate action, of which a substantial share responded to the COVID-19 pandemic. It illustrated the use of development finance as a countercyclical investment channel.

2020France became the largest FDI recipient in Europe 6 years ago

According to a study by EY, France was in 2020 the leading destination for foreign direct investment in Europe, ahead of the United Kingdom and Germany. The ranking marked a shift in the European hierarchy of investment destinations.

2020China implemented the Foreign Investment Law 6 years ago

China brought its Foreign Investment Law into force in 2020, restructuring the legal framework governing inward direct investment. It replaced earlier arrangements governing foreign-invested enterprises.

2015Iran saw FDI improve following the JCPOA 11 years ago

Iranian companies experienced some improvement in foreign direct investment from 2015 as a result of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. The episode showed how sanctions relief directly conditions a country's access to investment inflows.

2015India emerged as the top global FDI destination, surpassing China and the US 11 years ago

In 2015 India overtook both China and the United States to become the leading recipient of foreign direct investment. The shift marked a notable reordering of the destinations for global investment flows.

September 2013United States House of Representatives passed the Global Investment in American Jobs Act 13 years ago

The bill directed the Department of Commerce to review the global competitiveness of the United States in attracting foreign direct investment. It reflected a policy turn towards treating inward FDI as a matter of national economic competition.

2013China recorded $24.1 billion of inflows against $8.97 billion of outflows 13 years ago

In 2013 FDI into China was $24.1 billion, some 34.7% of all inflows to the Asia-Pacific region, while FDI out of China was $8.97 billion, or 10.7% of the regional share. The asymmetry illustrated China's position as a net importer of direct investment at the time.

23 not shown

Contents